While Pentagon awaits details on transgender ban, majority of Americans disapprove

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On July 26th, 2017, Donald Trump posted the tweets below informing the nation that transgender servicemen and women would be barred from serving in the U.S. Armed Forces.

Delphi Analytica conducted an online poll of 1523 respondents across the U.S. between July 26th and July 28th, 2017 to ask them what they thought about this latest development from the Trump Administration. 54% of respondents disapproved of the new policy versus only 35% who approved with 11% remaining undecided. This policy, which we assumed would appeal to Donald Trump’s base, fared better in the Southern and Midwestern regions of the United States with only a -6% net approval rate.

 

 

This policy was ultimately disliked among all age groups, but approval for the announcement was higher among older voters and males. Support was lowest among women 25-44 years old. 34% of respondents between the ages of 18-24 were in favor while 24% of 25-44 year olds opposed. This is a significant data point — since it suggests the most liberal voters are no longer the youngest age group, but are rather comprised of mostly millennials. The age range between 18-24 encompasses most of what has been termed Generation Z, which consists of people who were born starting in approximately 1995. As has been documented by numerous writers, including Saleno Zito in the NY Post, this newest generation is more financially cautious and lean more to the right politically than their predecessors. For example, research has shown that they save money at a higher rate and generally favor more conservative economic ideology than their predecessors.  So, while it may seem like a desperate ploy to drum up support by the Trump Administration, it might actually be forecasting a political shift back to the center that the current Democratic party has yet to embrace.

 

In regards to implementing this new policy? As cited in a recent article by ABC, Pentagon spokesman Jeff Davis says “We are now in the process of waiting for that to be formally articulated to us in a policy memo. We’ll be standing by to make that happen”.

 

Raw Data can be accessed here

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